SRL Archive - RuneScape News and General

Effigy drop rate increased?


Jake

2012-10-20 18:09:58

Not sure If Im the only one, but for the past f2-3 days, I've been getting alot of effigies.

Silentcore

2012-10-20 18:15:16

Lucky you, I remember I was once botting and forgot to make it pick up effigy if any. And I ended getting 3-4 that 6 hour period. but this was like 3 months ago but still.

Brandon

2012-10-20 18:37:24

Pft. I got one yesterday. The first in 4 months. Slayer = bad effigies for me.

xtrapsp

2012-10-20 18:48:13

glacors have high effigy drop rate

Jake

2012-10-20 18:58:30

From: xtrapsp
glacors have high effigy drop rate

Their assumed drop rate is about 1 in every 80-100 kills. Regardless of their high drop rate, I was getting very few from the last time I did them, which was near beginning of September.

xtrapsp

2012-10-20 19:14:41

http://runescape.wikia.com/wiki/Glacor

High effigy drop rate due to their combat level.

TehNeonFishy

2012-10-20 19:19:11

I never get them on my noob, still have loads on my main that I need to use up. >.<

Jake

2012-10-20 19:28:11

From: xtrapsp
http://runescape.wikia.com/wiki/Glacor

High effigy drop rate due to their combat level.

Like I just said, I know that. I was referring to how I've never gotten 2-3 effigies in 1-2 runs at glacors.

riwu

2012-10-20 21:24:32

You should learn about Hypothesis Testing to avoid making erroneous conclusion based on a small sample pool.

Let X be the random variable denoting the no. of Glacor per effigy.
u0: X~90 (since you say the expected average is 80-100)
u1: X<90
Since variance is unknown and sample size is small,
Under u0, Test Statistic T= ((X-bar - u0) * sqd root n)/s ~ t(5-1) (you got a total of 5 effigies?)

Using one-tailed test at 5% significance level, reject H0 if p<0.05.
Hence to reject h0,

(X-bar - 90)* 2.2361 / (0.25*(n1^2 + n2^2 + n3^2 + n4^2 + n5^2 - (nTotal^2) / 5) < -2.132
where X-bar is the average kills per effigy required, n1-n5 is the no. of kills for each effigy (for a total of 5) in your sample, and nTotal is the total no. of kills.

Solve the inequality to find X-bar, and compare this with your actual sample mean to find out if your sample proves anything at all. Most likely due to the small sample pool you can't reach any decisive conclusion unless your sample is extreme (but the sample variance has to be small as well).

Also
From: Jakee
Like I just said, I know that. I was referring to how I've never gotten 2-3 effigies in 1 glacor slayer task.

Since when Glacor is a slayer task??!@!?!

xtrapsp

2012-10-20 21:26:41

From: Jakee
Like I just said, I know that. I was referring to how I've never gotten 2-3 effigies in 1 glacor slayer task.


no you refered to someone else first.

Their assumed drop rate is about 1 in every 80-100 kills


who assumes this? You? Or other people? Your implying other people.

Jake

2012-10-20 21:43:23

From: riwu
You should learn about Hypothesis Testing to avoid making erroneous conclusion based on a small sample pool.

Let X be the random variable denoting the no. of Glacor per effigy.
u0: X~90 (since you say the expected average is 80-100)
u1: X<90
Since variance is unknown and sample size is small,
Under u0, Test Statistic T= ((X-bar - u0) * sqd root n)/s ~ t(5-1) (you got a total of 5 effigies?)

Using one-tailed test at 5% significance level, reject H0 if p<0.05.
Hence to reject h0,

(X-bar - 90)* 2.2361 / (0.25*(n1^2 + n2^2 + n3^2 + n4^2 + n5^2 - (nTotal^2) / 5) < -2.132
where X-bar is the average kills per effigy required, n1-n5 is the no. of kills for each effigy (for a total of 5) in your sample, and nTotal is the total no. of kills.

Solve the inequality to find X-bar, and compare this with your actual sample mean to find out if your sample proves anything at all. Most likely due to the small sample pool you can't reach any decisive conclusion unless your sample is extreme (but the sample variance has to be small as well).

Also

Since when Glacor is a slayer task??!@!?!

Woah, sorry about that, wasn't thinking straight about the task..

@xtrapsp, it was what I got off from a bestiary on tip.it http://www.tip.it/runescape/?page=glacor.htm
They claim its around 1/70 kills, I said around 80-100ish from the past times I've killed before recently.
Im trying to say that I have gotten roughly 1 in 80-100ish kills before, however tip.it has said its a 1/70. And now recently as in today and the past few days, I've killed less than 70 and have gotten effigies frequently.

Benny

2012-10-20 22:14:58

Well that's some nice xp, I would like that :)

I hope they've unnerfed them